10
Gallant Pioneer
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Bath · JDL Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 37y
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |