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11

It's Life

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 56

Bath · JDL Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 37y

#11

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended 2025 on a low-key note but caused a surprise after 10 months off when shedding her maiden tag at Salisbury. Only just denied the follow up at Brighton next time but went back to going lethargically in first-time headgear there since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Stratford 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS13/0744 @ Newton Abbot 20/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m167y Gd 147 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Uttoxeter 27/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 147 · HIGHER CLASS27/0745 @ Newton Abbot 30/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 86 · 2m167y GS 142 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 86 par6 @ Bath 30/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 51 · 1m5f11y Goo 124 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 51 par30/096OR 515 @ Fontwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 86 · 2m1f162y Goo 142 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 86 par6 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 51 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 51 par25/076OR 516 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 133 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m1f207y Goo 126 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 56 par24/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Brighton65th6th−1
2026-08-05Brighton62nd3rd−1
2026-07-25Salisbury61st2nd−1
2025-10-03Fontwell54th4th0
2025-09-30Bath69th10th−1
2025-08-30Newton Abbot56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0730/0825/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20253rd40/10%71%+0.71
20/07/20254th28/10%25%+0.25
27/07/20255th22/10%60%+0.60
30/08/20256th40/10%38%+0.38
30/09/20259th40/10%27%+0.27
03/10/20254th20/10%40%+0.40
25/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
05/08/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
24/08/20265th3/184%33%-0.51