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2

Belle Of Kt

5yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 68

Bath · MJ Church Handicap · 1m 5f 11y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had an excellent summer, completing a 4-timer last month. Probably wants the rain to stay away judged on her latest run here 16 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 50 par18/066OR 506 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Gd 135 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 48 · 1m4f1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 48 par13/076OR 486 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 48 · 1m4f14y Std 128 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Bath 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 48 · 1m6f Fm 151 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 48 par31/076OR 486 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 54 · 1m3f209y Gd 134 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 54 · 1m5f Std 134 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 54 par15/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 54 · 1m7f169y Std 144 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 54 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m6f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 70 par13/092OR 70projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath210th6th+3
2026-08-17Lingfield63rd4th−1
2026-08-15Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-08-12Ffos Las61st2nd−1
2026-07-31Bath61st2nd−1
2026-07-23Southwell61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0623/0715/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20263rd17/255%78%+0.23
23/06/20267th13/266%33%-0.32
13/07/20263rd15/261%83%+0.23
23/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
31/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
12/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
15/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
17/08/20263rd4/797%50%-0.47
13/09/202610th13/266%18%-0.48