Chambers
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64
Bath · MJ Church Handicap · 1m 5f 11y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |