8
One Cool Dreamer
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 62
Bath · MJ Church Handicap · 1m 5f 11y
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |