7
Amarachi
4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 62
Bath · AEL Solutions Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 44% | -0.42 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |