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Al Qayed

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 82

Bath · British EBF Future Stayers' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on debut when third in heavy-ground maiden at Goodwood 3 weeks ago, not knocked about (form is working out well). A raw, rather backward type, he should have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 1m GF 13315/0832 @ Goodwood 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Goodwood23rd2nd+1
2026-08-15Newmarket33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +124.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20263rd8/158%0%-0.58
08/09/20263rd22/10%67%+0.67