12
Kodicall
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 59
Bath · SW Hire Handicap · 5f 10y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |