8

Maharajas Express

6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 72

Bath · SW Hire Handicap · 5f 10y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who has looked better than ever of late, close second of 21 at York before going one better at Doncaster last time. Must be respected in current mood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 70 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 70 par27/045OR 705 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 69 · 5f21y Goo 129 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 67 par6/075OR 675 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 67 · 5f15y Goo 132 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 64 · 5f15y Goo 134 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 64 par25/075OR 645 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 5f10y Gd 135 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 67 par28/085OR 674 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR 68 · 5f89y GS 126 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 5f3y Gd 126 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 68 par13/094OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster41st1st0
2026-09-06York42nd2nd0
2026-08-28Sandown52nd3rd−1
2026-08-17Wolverhampton58th9th−1
2026-07-25Chester51st2nd−1
2026-07-11Chester56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0411/0728/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
18/05/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
06/07/20269th17/255%20%-0.35
11/07/20266th6/168%50%-0.18
25/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
17/08/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
28/08/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
06/09/20262nd28/10%95%+0.95
13/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18