7
South Shore
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 75
Bath · SW Hire Handicap · 5f 10y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength41%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |