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12

Foxsbrush

2yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 45

Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in novice/maidens at up to 7f in recent months. More chance now handicapping from a basement mark but still hard to be positive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0734 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0844 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS31/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow46th4th+2
2026-08-05Yarmouth410th8th+2
2026-07-17Newmarket37th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/075/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20267th33/10%0%0.00
05/08/202610th250/10%0%0.00
31/08/20266th150/10%0%0.00