11

Good Fighter

2yo Colt · 8-5 · OR 46

Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability in a Windsor novice (5f) on debut but hasn't kicked on in 4 outings since, including 2 nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f21y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0654 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS25/0645 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0756 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 51 · 5f Goo 121 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 51 par13/086OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 48 · 5f21y Std 118 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 48 par7/096OR 48projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-08-13Beverley66th6th0
2026-07-23Southwell59th8th+1
2026-06-25Newmarket45th3rd+2
2026-06-01Windsor57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0625/0623/0713/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
25/06/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
23/07/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
13/08/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
07/09/20269th12/137%20%-0.17