Hemustbeanangel

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 63

Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark

Move▼2

Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-08	Leicester	6	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-17	Windsor	4	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-07-25	Salisbury	4	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-06-29	Windsor	4	9th	7th	+2	3.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength48%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/06/2026	9th	33/1	0%	20%	+0.20
25/07/2026	3rd	50/1	0%	33%	+0.33
17/08/2026	3rd	100/1	0%	80%	+0.80
08/09/2026	6th	3/1	84%	44%	-0.40