8

It's A Dream

2yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 52

Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 5 in maiden (150/1) at Chepstow (7f, good) 42 days ago. Has been gelded and makes handicap debut from a mark which demands improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS23/0555 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 5f21y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0653 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f16y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS18/083projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Chepstow35th1st+3
2026-06-15Windsor59th8th+1
2026-05-23Windsor55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0515/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -31.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20265th40/10%64%+0.64
15/06/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
18/08/20265th150/10%0%0.00