4

Snow On The Beach

2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 62

Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shown a tendency to pull hard but in very good hands and likely improver in nurseries if learning to settle better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0555 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS15/0854 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton47th5th+2
2026-08-15Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-05-26Bath56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0515/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +22.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
15/08/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
02/09/20267th200/10%45%+0.45