So Tempting
2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 50
Bath · Power Logistics Nursery · 5f 160y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newbury | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |