8
Control Room
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 67
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sandown | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |