Evie Ross
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 72
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-08-29 | Salisbury | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |