IvyArcIvyArc
6

Kiss And Run

5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 69

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended long losing run when making most in 6-runner handicap at Goodwood (5f) this month but below-form sixth of 13 to Distant Rumble at Windsor since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 72 · 5f21y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 72 par18/055OR 724 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 74 · 5f10y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 4f217y Goo 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 72 par27/065OR 724 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f12y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 70 · 5f21y GF 137 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 70 par27/075OR 705 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f21y GF 138 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 68 · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 68 par28/084OR 684 @ Goodwood 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 5f Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 66 · 6f12y Goo 138 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 66 par14/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor56th6th0
2026-09-08Goodwood41st0th+1
2026-08-28Goodwood43rd2nd+1
2026-08-17Windsor55th5th0
2026-07-27Windsor58th8th0
2026-07-13Windsor47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0513/0728/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20262nd17/255%89%+0.34
12/06/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
27/06/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
13/07/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
27/07/20268th11/486%30%-0.56
17/08/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
28/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
08/09/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
14/09/20266th15/261%58%-0.02