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10

Legendsoftheland

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

74%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thriving sort who has won 3 times this year, including C&D. Another excellent effort when second of 17 over C&D (good to soft) 16 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 44 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 44 par6/026OR 446 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 44 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 44 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 50 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 50 par10/036OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 51 · 5f160y Goo 131 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 51 par22/056OR 516 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 55 · 5f10y Goo 135 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 par28/076OR 556 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 56 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 56 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 56 · 5f160y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 56 par13/092OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath22nd-2th+3
2026-08-13Windsor63rd4th−1
2026-07-28Ffos Las61st2nd−1
2026-06-13Bath63rd4th−1
2026-05-22Bath61st2nd−1
2026-03-23Wolverhampton62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0223/0328/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
28/02/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
10/03/20261st85/4089%100%+0.11
23/03/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
22/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/06/20263rd7/282%85%+0.03
28/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
13/08/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
13/09/20262nd4/179%94%+0.15