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9

Pull The Rug

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 65

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked unlucky not to win when second of 4 at Chepstow last month, keeping on again after rider lost iron briefly last ½f. Stumbled leaving stalls when respectable fourth at Ffos Las next time and may have simply failed to handle soft ground when well held at Salisbury latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 65 par22/095OR 654 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f212y Gd 127 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 70 par11/055OR 705 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 69 · 5f Gd 134 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f Goo 129 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 69 par16/065OR 695 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 68 · 6f16y GF 132 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 68 par6/085OR 685 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 67 par11/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury510th10th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las54th4th0
2026-08-06Chepstow52nd2nd0
2026-07-27Windsor54th4th0
2026-06-16Thirsk59th9th0
2026-06-05Thirsk54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/095/066/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
17/10/20255th11/142%43%+0.01
11/05/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
05/06/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
16/06/20269th15/261%20%-0.41
27/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
06/08/20262nd11/142%67%+0.25
21/08/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
11/09/202610th11/142%18%-0.24