Rumble Ruby
3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 74
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |