Silver Wraith
4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 72
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 1) · 5f 160y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |