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Army Bugler

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 74

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 2) · 5f 160y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Narrow winner of a 2-y-o maiden at Leicester and proved all the better for his return when runner-up in this headgear at Ffos Las last month. However, that form hasn't worked out so another step forward is required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS24/0542 @ Bath 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f160y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/0625 @ Leicester 26/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 13326/0654 @ Windsor 18/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 5f21y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 78 par18/084OR 783 @ Haydock 26/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 5f GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 78 par26/093OR 784 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 5f10y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 75 par29/074OR 755 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 6f Gd 134 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 72 par21/085OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Ffos Las52nd2nd0
2026-07-29Sandown46th5th+1
2025-09-26Haydock37th5th+2
2025-08-18Windsor44th3rd+1
2025-06-26Leicester51st1st0
2025-06-06Bath22nd-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0518/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20255th16/116%50%+0.34
06/06/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
26/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
18/08/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
26/09/20257th9/153%0%-0.53
29/07/20266th20/10%0%0.00
21/08/20262nd28/10%80%+0.80