1
Charlie Boyo
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 75
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 2) · 5f 160y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 01/06/2025 | 5th | 8/13 | 97% | 33% | -0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |