4

Hk Fourteen

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 71

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 2) · 5f 160y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times over 5f in 2025, including a better race than this on this card off 3 lb higher. However, he's proved most disappointing on turf this season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 73 · 5f3y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 73 par14/094OR 734 @ Bath 30/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 74 · 5f10y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 81 · 5f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 81 par31/104OR 814 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 81 · 6f Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 80 · 6f2y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 80 par16/054OR 804 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f21y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 21 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 76 par24/074OR 764 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 76 · 6f20y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f12y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 74 par29/084OR 74projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor46th5th+1
2026-07-31Wolverhampton44th3rd+1
2026-07-24York48th7th+1
2026-06-01Windsor46th5th+1
2026-05-16Doncaster410th9th+1
2025-11-27Newcastle45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0927/1124/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20253rd15/261%87%+0.26
30/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
31/10/202511th6/168%0%-0.68
27/11/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
16/05/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
01/06/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
24/07/20268th50/10%65%+0.65
31/07/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
29/08/20266th4/179%0%-0.79