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7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 70
Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 2) · 5f 160y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |