6

Nuevo Slovo

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 70

Bath · Clyde And Co Handicap (Div 2) · 5f 160y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ayr maiden winner in 2025 who was also an excellent sixth in Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot for John O'Donoghue. Well held all 5 starts this season for current yard, however. Headgear now applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 28/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Std 12628/03C85 @ Ayr 28/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 1331 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 23 · OR - · 5f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS18/0611 @ Fairyhouse 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 93 · 6f Yie 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 93 par3 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 91 · 5f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 91 par15/053OR 913 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 6f12y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Leicester 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 83 · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 83 par9/084OR 834 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f10y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 75 · 6f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 75 par16/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Yarmouth411th10th+1
2026-08-29Sandown46th5th+1
2026-08-09Leicester44th3rd+1
2026-06-01Windsor310th8th+2
2026-05-15York316th14th+2
2025-09-22Fairyhouse17th2nd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0322/099/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20256th25/10%29%+0.29
28/04/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
18/06/20256th125/10%77%+0.77
22/09/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
15/05/202616th50/10%6%+0.06
01/06/202610th40/10%0%0.00
09/08/20264th28/10%0%0.00
29/08/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
16/09/202611th50/10%9%+0.09