5
Pharitz Lahia (A)
6yo Mare · 8-4
Bath · Carbonnetzero Handicap Stakes (Arab Race) · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Brighton | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Windsor | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2024 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |