6
Sassy (A)
8yo Mare · 8-4
Bath · Carbonnetzero Handicap Stakes (Arab Race) · 1m 2f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength27%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Windsor | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2024-10-31 | Bath | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-09-17 | Brighton | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2023 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 24/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 05/08/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 17/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 31/10/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 28/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |