14
Almaromy
4yo Filly · 8-5
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/08/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |