4
Central Park West
8yo Gelding · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 23/03/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 07/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |