8

Douriann
7yo Gelding · 8-12
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 10% | -0.69 |
| 01/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/08/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |