16
Jenilat Bright
4yo Gelding · 8-5
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#16
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Meydan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/01/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/01/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 24/03/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 10/05/2026 | 18th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |