5
Opalus Road
7yo Gelding · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-03-24 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2024-12-03 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-29 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2024 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 79% | -0.10 |
| 04/06/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 30/06/2024 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 04/08/2024 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 37% | -0.21 |
| 29/10/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 03/12/2024 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 13/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 24/03/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |