15
Speedy Green
4yo Gelding · 8-5
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 28/04/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 7% | -0.46 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |