Star Rock

7yo Gelding · 8-6

Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#15

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C1.8

Today: 2

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-09	Deauville	1	20th	19th	+1	1.0
2026-07-05	Saint-Cloud	3	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-06-14	Chantilly	1	11th	10th	+1	1.0
2026-04-07	Deauville	2	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-03-12	Chantilly	2	12th	12th	0	1.0
2025-12-09	Chantilly	?	9th	9th	0	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength21%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/08/2025	2nd	66/1	0%	94%	+0.94
28/10/2025	5th	9/1	53%	73%	+0.21
18/11/2025	2nd	13/2	66%	93%	+0.28
09/12/2025	9th	9/1	53%	43%	-0.10
12/03/2026	12th	14/1	26%	27%	+0.00
07/04/2026	6th	20/1	0%	67%	+0.67
14/06/2026	11th	40/1	0%	41%	+0.41
05/07/2026	7th	20/1	0%	60%	+0.60
09/08/2026	20th	28/1	0%	0%	0.00