12
True Tedesco
7yo Gelding · 8-6
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.33 |
| 02/12/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 03/03/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |