2
Zeloro
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Chantilly · Prix De La Chambre Du Duc Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength83%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |