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7yo Gelding · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Des Conde Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/12/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/12/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.17 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |