3
Elusive Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Des Conde Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 07/06/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 16/06/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/07/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 62% | +0.06 |