5
Olaf
5yo Gelding · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Des Conde Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-04-25 | Compiegne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-31 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 02/08/2024 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 31/03/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |