6
Paco
8yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Des Conde Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 09/02/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |