1

Bialystok

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#14

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲9
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 15.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C12.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -9.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA90 @ Curragh 29/09/2024 · Pos 12th of 30 · OR 90 · 2m170y Goo 123 · below its mark29/09/2024 · OR 90 par29/0990OR 90C5 @ Chantilly 08/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m1f207y Ver 123 · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Le Touquet 27/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m2f96y GS 123 · beat its mark27/07/2025 · OR 88 par27/07C5OR 88C5 @ Vichy 20/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m3f204y Ver 123 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 88 parBHA140 @ Compiegne 10/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 140 · 2m1f196y Sft 154 · below its mark10/09/2025 · OR 140 par10/09140OR 140BHA140 @ Fontainebleau 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 140 · 2m4f193y Sft 147 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 140 parBHA140 @ Nantes 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 140 · 2m3f85y Hvy 154 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 140 par1/11140OR 140BHA140 @ Fontainebleau 02/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 140 · 2m2f195y Sft 158 · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 140 parC0 @ Strasbourg 13/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 14113/09C?
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Strasbourg?14th14th0
2025-12-02FontainebleauBHA1407th20th−11
2025-11-01NantesBHA1403rd16th−11
2025-10-13FontainebleauBHA1404th17th−11
2025-09-10CompiegneBHA1407th20th−11
2025-08-20Vichy?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0920/081/1113/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/202412th33/10%62%+0.62
08/07/20256th80/10%17%+0.17
27/07/20252nd20/10%86%+0.86
20/08/20256th11/142%17%-0.25
10/09/20257th28/10%0%0.00
13/10/20254th14/126%67%+0.40
01/11/20253rd15/261%78%+0.17
02/12/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
13/09/202614th66/10%0%0.00