11
Blue Ocean Dream
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 03/03/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 54% | -0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/08/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 21% | -0.39 |