5
Ever Fast
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 28/11/2025 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |