8
Havana Six
7yo Mare · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 03/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/03/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 03/08/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |