3
Sogynt
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 85% | -0.01 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 23/08/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |