2
Vents Contraires
8yo Gelding · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon De Guise Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/02/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 8% | -0.63 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 07/04/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |