11

Barramundi

2yo Colt · 9-2

Chantilly · Prix De Vineuil Maiden Stakes · 1m 208y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 16/09/2015 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m0f0y Hvy 16616/09C8C8 @ Gowran Park 03/10/2015 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f0y Gd 1663/10C8C0 @ Cork 18/10/2015 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f0y Gd 16118/10C?4 @ Sedgefield 27/10/2016 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m5f34y Goo 152 · HIGHER CLASS27/1044 @ Wetherby 12/11/2016 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 108 · 3m0f26y GS 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/11/2016 · OR 108 par12/114OR 108C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1288/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0
2016-11-12Wetherby44th3rd+1
2016-10-27Sedgefield44th3rd+1
2015-10-18Cork?6th6th0
2015-10-03Gowran Park?5th9th−4
2015-09-16Listowel?6th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/093/1018/1027/1012/118/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%

Delivery trend -13.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20156th14/126%44%+0.18
03/10/20155th18/15%50%+0.45
18/10/20156th25/10%17%+0.17
27/10/20164th33/10%70%+0.70
12/11/20164th7/282%57%-0.24
08/09/20265th11/893%50%-0.43